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Nearly 30 years ago, the foreign exchange market forex was characterized by trades conducted over telephone, institutional investors , opaque price information, a clear distinction between interdealer trading and dealer-customer trading and low market concentration. Today, technological advancements have transformed the forex market. Trades can be made quickly over your computer, allowing retail traders to enter the market, while real-time streaming prices have led to greater transparency , and the distinction between dealers and their most sophisticated customers has been minimized.
Another significant change is the introduction of algorithmic trading , which may have lead to improvements to the functioning of forex trading, but also poses risks.
In this article, we'll identify some advantages algorithmic trading has brought to currency trading by looking at the basics of the forex market and algorithmic trading while also pointing out some of its inherent risks. In forex markets, currency pairs are traded in varying volumes according to quoted prices. A base currency is given a price in terms of a quote currency. Forex is considered to be world's largest and most liquid financial market, trading 24 hours a day, five days a week.
The bulk of this trading is conducted in U. Activity in the forex market affects real exchange rates and can therefore profoundly influence the output, employment, inflation and capital flows of any particular nation. For this reason, policymakers, the public and the media all have a vested interest in the forex market. An algorithm is essentially a set of specific rules designed to complete a defined task. In financial market trading, computers carry out user-defined algorithms characterized by a set of rules such as timing, price or quantity that determine trades.
There exist four basic types of algorithmic trading within financial markets:. One of the subcategories of algorithmic trading is high frequency trading, which is characterized by the extremely high rate and speed of trade order executions.
High-frequency trading can give significant advantages to traders, including the ability to make trades within milliseconds of incremental price changes , but also carry certain risks when trading in a volatile forex market. Much of the growth in algorithmic trading in forex markets over the past years has been due to algorithms automating certain processes and reducing the hours needed to conduct foreign exchange transactions.
The efficiency created by automation leads to lower costs in carrying out these processes , such as the execution of trade orders.
These choices will be signaled globally to our partners and will not affect browsing data. One of the biggest attractions to black-box trading models is the fact that they remove human error. Partner Links. Throughout this algorithmic trading guide, going to focus on profit-seeking algorithms. Much of the growth in algorithmic trading in forex markets over the past years has been due to algorithms automating certain processes and reducing the hours needed to conduct foreign exchange transactions. Most retail trading platforms won't support this type of trading strategy either and is mostly geared for quantitative trading hedge funds who specialise in such high-frequency types of trades.
Automating the trading process with an algorithm that trades based on predetermined criteria, such as executing orders over a specified period of time or at a specific price, is significantly more efficient than manual execution. Banks have also taken advantage of algorithms that are programmed to update prices of currency pairs on electronic trading platforms. These algorithms increase the speed at which banks can quote market prices while simultaneously reducing the number of manual working hours it takes to quote prices. Some banks program algorithms to reduce their risk exposure.
This allows the bank to maintain a pre-specified level of risk exposure for holding that currency. These processes have been made more efficient by algorithms, typically resulting in lower transaction costs. Yet, these are not the only factors that have been driving the growth in forex algorithmic trading.
Algorithms have increasingly been used for speculative trading, as the combination of high frequency and the ability to quickly interpret data and execute orders has allowed traders to exploit arbitrage opportunities arising from small price deviations between currency pairs. Within the forex market, the primary methods of hedging trades are through spot contracts and currency options. Spot contracts are the purchase or sale of a foreign currency with immediate delivery. The forex spot market has grown significantly from the early s due to the influx of algorithmic platforms.
In particular, the rapid proliferation of information, as reflected in market prices, allows arbitrage opportunities to arise. Triangular arbitrage , as it is known in the forex market, is the process of converting one currency back into itself through multiple different currencies. Algorithmic and high frequency traders can only identify these opportunities by way of automated programs. As a derivative , forex options operate in a similar fashion as an option on other types of securities.
The foreign currency options give the purchaser the right to buy or sell the currency pair at a particular exchange rate at some point in the future. Computer programs have automated binary options as an alternative way to hedge foreign currency trades. Binary options result in one of two outcomes: The trade settles either at zero or at a pre-determined strike price. There are some downsides of algorithmic trading that could threaten the stability and liquidity of the forex market. One such downside relates to imbalances in trading power of market participants. Some participants have the means to acquire sophisticated technology to obtain information and execute orders at a much quicker speed than others.
This imbalance in algorithmic technology could lead to fragmentation within the market and liquidity shortages over time.
Trend-following. One of the simplest. Mean reversion.
Furthermore, while there are fundamental differences between stock markets and the forex market, there is a belife that the same high frequency trading that exacerbated the stock market flash crash on May 6, , could similarly affect the forex market. Algorithms may not respond quickly enough if the market were to drastically change, as they are programmed for specific market scenarios.
Markets may need to be monitored and algorithmic trading suspended during turbulence to avoid this scenario. However, in such extreme circumstances, a simultaneous suspension of algorithmic trading by numerous market participants could result in high volatility and a drastic reduction in market liquidity. Put your hard-earned cash back in your wallet and spend a little more time understanding algorithmic trading first. There are eight main kinds of algo trading based on the strategies used. Pretty overwhelming, huh? Of course you can mix and match these strategies too, which yields so many possible combinations.
One of the simplest strategies is simply to follow market trends, with buy or sell orders generated based on a set of conditions fulfilled by technical indicators. This strategy can also compare historical and current data in predicting whether trends are likely to continue or reverse. Black boxes that employ this strategy typically calculate an average asset price using historical data and takes trades in anticipation of the current price returning to the average price.
Ever try trading the news? Well, this strategy can do it for you! A news-based algorithmic trading system is usually hooked to news wires, automatically generating trade signals depending on how actual data turns out in comparison to the market consensus or the previous data.
Forex algo strategies based on market sentiment can involve using the COT report or a system that detects extreme net short or long positions. More modern approaches are also capable of scanning social media networks to gauge currency biases. Making use of arbitrage in algorithmic trading means that the system hunts for price imbalances across different markets and makes profits off those.
Triangular arbitrage, which involves two currency pairs and a currency cross between the two, is also a popular strategy under this classification.
As the name suggests, this kind of trading system operates at lightning-fast speeds, executing buy or sell signals and closing trades in a matter of milliseconds. These typically use arbitrage or scalping strategies based on quick price fluctuations and involves high trading volumes. This is a strategy employed by large financial institutions who are very secretive about their forex positions.
Instead of placing one huge long or short position with just one broker, they break up their trade into smaller positions and execute these under different brokers.