Contents:
This report allows you to pick a specific underlying, range of days to expiration, and minimum option premium, as well as a specific strategy; short put, short call, covered call and covered or married put. The matrix will then give you a report showing you how frequently as a percentage, or probability the trade would have profited over a 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 year period. All strikes are individually analyzed in two different ways.
First, the trade is assessed against historical movement of the underlying for the period of time being reported again, one through five years. Since over that period of time the underlying's price varies, each period of time is analyzed in such a way as to normalize the movement before being reported, so you get a true picture of how your trade would have performed in past markets.
The trade is then assessed against Eztrade's unique "Stress Test" indicator.
Above 60, the investor has no gain or loss. Sign In Now. For instance, if there is no intersection between the calls and put moneyness in the Moneyness Selector , such a strategy as Straddle will not be built since it demands the same strike for its call and put legs. Option Fair Value: finding a statistical edge in options trading. B — ratio of amount won on a winning bet to amount lost on a losing bet.
Rather than assume a particular movement being tested is in one direction, the stress test assumes the magnitude of the movement could have been in either direction, and calculates the probability of profit under these difficult conditions. For example, if you are testing a short put strategy and during the testing period your underlying moved up five percent in one cycle, the stress test would also include a data point assuming the underlying moved down five percent.
Thus, your probability of profit in a stress test will always be equal to or lower than the actual historical probability of profit. The matrix will then present the theoretical probability of profit with the current underlying's implied volatility, as well as a second column with the theoretical probability of profit using the implied volatility skew.
Utilizing the skewed column, the probabilities are then color coded on the matrix. To improve your experience on our site, please update your browser or system.
For institutions. Login Open account. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs, FX or any of our other products work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
By using our website you agree to our use of cookies in accordance with our cookie policy. Trade with Saxo on Dynamic Trend Access specialist options analysis and trading software with no compromises. Open account Talk to our specialists. Learn more about Dynamic Trend. Discover powerful trading features Dynamic Trend provides the data and tools you need to make smarter trading decisions. Identify the Theta sweet spot to find an optimal date to enter a covered call or credit trade. Select from over different scan types and filter options and generate a list of options in real time. Dynamic Trend integration overview.
Operation System. Market Data. How to get started with Dynamic Trend. Sign up with Saxo.
Fund your account. Connect to Dynamic Trend. Open account. Where can I buy a licence to use Dynamic Trend? And there are many more strategies to make money in any market. For beginner options traders I recommend sticking to three core strategies that can make money in any market condition.
A call purchase is used when a rise in the price of the underlying asset is expected. This strategy is the purchase of a call at a specific strike price with unlimited potential for profits. The maximum loss on this trade is the amount of premium paid. The Iron Condor position is the combination of a bear call spread and a bull put spread in the same underlying.
By selling a call spread and a put spread, you gain extra short volatility and decay, while at the same time limiting your risk. Stock XYZ is trading at To execute this trade, you would:.
Here is the graph of this trade at expiration. To execute this trade you would:. Here is the graph of this trade at expiration:. And for the professional trader, every strategy listed in the options strategy matrix above can be used to profit in any market conditions.
To learn more about these strategies and Cabot Options Trader where I use these strategies to create profits in any market visit Jacob Mintz or optionsace. Over the long-term small cap value stocks have outperformed large cap growth stocks, although not over more recent history. By Jesse, March However, cash savings are not your only option if you have money left over at the end of the month, and there are a lot of other options that could bring greater returns. By Kim, March The jade lizard is one of those bullish spreads with limited maximum profit, and no risk on the upside. It is a combination of a short put with a short call spread.
The credit this creates is higher than the span of the spread. To set this up, two actions are required:. By Michael C.